Today, Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN) not only lied twice on national television about the cost of a green economy, but also accused the MIT economist who has challenged Pence’s distortion of his work of playing politics. Since March, the GOP has repeated a $3000 lie about about cap-and-trade clean energy legislation, claiming that the analysis came from an MIT study. Even though economist John Reilly, a co-author of the study, has sent multiple letters to the GOP telling them their distortion is “just wrong” and asking them to stop misrepresenting his work, they ignored his requests. This afternoon, the Wonk Room interviewed Pence about Reilly’s attempts to correct the false portrayals of his own study. When asked if Reilly was wrong, Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN) accused the economist of “making a public policy or political conclusion”:
I respect the work that he did. We took the number that he used [for the value of the cap-and-trade market] and divided it by the number of the households. What he’s doing, he’s not making a mathematical conclusion, he’s making a public policy or political conclusion. He believes the other side’s analysis that there’ll going to be a rebate of these revenues and job growth.
Watch it:
Yet again, Pence is “just wrong.” In fact, Reilly, a widely respected energy economist, was “making a mathematical conclusion” when he told the House Republicans their $3000 figure was a fabrication. Asserting that the value of the market is equivalent to the economic cost of the policy — which one has to do to claim that the cost of cap and trade is $3100 per household — requires the assumption that value of the market magically disappears somewhere. Pence is not correct when he makes the argument that the lack of economic detail in the Waxman-Markey American Clean Energy and Security Act permits this distortion. Reilly attempted to explain this to the Weekly Standard:
It is not really a matter of returning it or not, no matter what happens this revenue gets recycled into the economy some way.
Furthermore, Reilly has explained that the MIT study shouldn’t be used to analyze Waxman-Markey at all. Even “apart from the misrepresentation of the costs” by the GOP, Reilly told Climate Progress last week, “it is inappropriate to draw conclusions on the costs of Waxman-Markey” from a study published two years ago that doesn’t model key cost-containment provisions, such as the use of offsets.


The real story here is that ThinkProgress repeats the “$3000 is a lie” lie, when in reality the Republican Congresscritters are more right than wrong.
The Government plan to raise $300 billion in revenue from this. That is a real extraction of real money from real families. Its not a lie. The MIT study itself project $3100 in taxes per family that are raised through this. To pretend this money is not a cost nor a tax, or that it doesnt count due to some mythical rebate (that is not leigslatively assured) is pure sophistry. Whether and how this money is recycled back, either via Govt programs or rebates elsewhere is irrelevent. The tax is real.
Nobody pretends real estate taxes are zero for a household simply because the money goes into schools and comes back to benefit some families. Higher energy bills to pay for CO2 permits will NOT be cost-free.
“requires the assumption that value of the market magically disappears somewhere.” This is not a ‘market’ – this is Government taxation-through-permitting and redistribution scheme. There is nothing ‘market’ about it. And therefore it has no ‘value’. It’s a big Enron-like scam to look like a market, but like Enron will end up being a fraud scheme.
May 7th, 2009 at 3:27 pm